The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal mortality in a South African metropole (2020 - 2021): A retrospective cohort study
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.2026.v116i5.3856Keywords:
maternal mortality, COVID-19, HIV, causes of deathAbstract
Background. During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was a notable increase in maternal deaths across South Africa (SA). Pre pandemic, the Western Cape Province, SA, had made significant strides towards reducing maternal mortality, including HIV-related deaths. However, this progress was reversed in the pandemic period despite a relative protection of maternity services. The direct biological impact of SARS- CoV-2 may not be the sole reason for the increase in mortality.
Objective. To evaluate the relative change in the maternal death rate (MDR) for non-SARS-CoV-2-related deaths during the pandemic v. pre pandemic in 2019.
Methods. We conducted a retrospective cohort study including all pregnant women with a pregnancy outcome enumerated in the Provincial Health Data Centre in the Metro West region of Cape Town from 1 January 2019 to 31 January 2022. Cause of in-facility maternal death and relationship to SARS-CoV-2 infection was determined by folder review. We used interrupted time series (ITS) analysis to assess the impact of the pandemic period on non-SARS-CoV-2 causes of maternal mortality.
Results. Over 98 000 women were included, with 68 deaths reviewed. The ITS model demonstrated no statistically significant change in the MDR for non-SARS-CoV-2-related deaths during the pandemic, with confidence intervals (CIs) that crossed the null for both a step change at the start of the pandemic (3.12/10 000 pregnancy outcomes; 95% CI –1.66 - 7.90) and a subsequent attenuation in the pre-pandemic downward gradient in MDR (slope change 0.47/10 000 pregnancy outcomes per month (95% CI –0.02 - 0.96). Folder review of deaths demonstrated an increase in opportunistic infections as a cause of death relative to the pre-pandemic period, mainly in women with HIV.
Conclusion. Maternal healthcare services were largely protected from service disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the increase in HIV-related opportunistic infections suggests that optimising maternal health requires an all-encompassing, functional healthcare ecosystem that can robustly maintain services for all health conditions.
References
1. Western Cape Department of Health. Strategic Plan 2020 - 2025. Cape Town: WCDoH, 2020. https:// d7.westerncape.gov.za/assets/departments/health/strategic_plan.pdf (accessed 14 June 2024).
2. Moodley J, Pattinson RC, Fawcus S, Schoon MG, Moran N, Shweni PM. The Confidential Enquiry into Maternal Deaths in South Africa: A case study. BJOG 2014;121(Suppl 4):53-60. https://doi. org/10.1111/1471-0528.12869
3. Sustainable Development Solutions Network. South Africa. SDSN, 2026. https://sdgs. un.org/2030agenda. https://southafrica.unsdsn.org/sdgs/#:~:text=In%202015%2C%20the%20 2030%20Agenda,at%20the%20Sustainable%20Development%20Summit (accessed 21 June 2024).
4. United Nations South Africa. Sustainable Development Goal 3: Good Health and Wellbeing. UN, 2026. https://southafrica.un.org/en/sdgs/3 (accessed 21 June 2024).
5. National Department of Health, South Africa. Annexure 3: Challenges for Maternal Perinatal and Neonatal Services in South Africa (Addendum to the The South African Maternal, Perinatal and Neonatal Health Policy). Pretoria: NDoH, 2021.
6. Fawcus S, Gebhardt S, Niit R, Pattinson R. Resilience in the time of crisis: A review of the maternal, perinatal and reproductive health effects of COVID-19 in South Africa. S Afr Med J 2024;114(5):e1757. https://doi.org/10.7196/samj.2024.v114i5.1757
7. Hunter M, Moodley J, Moran N. Perspectives on COVID-19 vaccination for pregnant women in South Africa. Afr J Pirm Health Care Fam Med 2021;13(1):a2998. https://doi.org/10.4102/phcfm.v13i1.2998 8. Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists. Coronavirus (COVID-19) infection in pregnancy. London: RCOG, 2021. https://www.rcog.org.uk/globalassets/documents/guidelines/2021-08-25-
coronavirus-covid-19-infection-in-pregnancy-v14.pdf (accessed 6 October 2021).
9. Fonka CB, Khamisa N, Worku E, Blaauw D. Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on maternal, neonatal and child health service utilisation, delivery and health outcomes in Gauteng province, South Africa: An interrupted time series (ITS) analysis. BMJ Open 2024;14(10):e090645. https://doi.org/10.1136/
bmjopen-2024-090645
10. Western Cape Department of Health. Circular 107 of 2020: Maternal and child health response plan for COVID-19. Cape Town: WCDoH, 2020. https://www.westerncape.gov.za/assets/h1072020_covid19_ maternal_child_health_response_plan_for_covid-19.pdf (accessed 14 June 2024).
11. Pillay Y, Pienaar S, Barron P, Zondi T. Impact of COVID-19 on routine primary healthcare services in South Africa 2021. S Afr Med J 2021;111(8):714-719. https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.2021.v111i8.15786 12. Pattinson R, Fawcus S, Gebhardt S, Niit R, Soma-Pillay P, Moodley J. The effect of the first wave of Covid-19 on use of maternal and reproductive health services and maternal deaths in South Africa.
Obstetr Gynaecol For 2020;30(4):36-44. http://hdl.handle.net/2263/82228 (accessed 28 May 2026). 13. Boulle A, de Vega I, Moodley M, et al. Data centre profiles The Provincial Health Data Centre of the Western Cape Province, South Africa. Int J Population Data Sci 2019;4(2). https://doi.org/10.23889/
ijpds.v4i2.1143
14. National Department of Health, South Africa. Saving Mothers and Babies 2017 - 2019: Executive summary. Pretoria: NDoH, 2019. https://www.health.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/SAVING- MOTHERS-SAVING-BABIES-REPORT-2017-2019.pdf (accessed 21 June 2024).
15. Municipalities of South Africa. Western Cape municipalities. Municipalities of South Africa, 2026. https://municipalities.co.za/provinces/view/9/western-cape (accessed 21 June 2024).
16. National Department of Health, South Africa. Circular H102/2020. Population data. Pretoria: NDoH, 2020. https://www.westerncape.gov.za/assets/departments/health/h_102_2020_covid-19_population_ data.pdf (accessed 14 June 2024).
17. Johnson LF, Mutemaringa T, Heekes A, Boulle A. Effect of HIV infection and antiretroviral treatment on pregnancy rates in the Western Cape Province of South Africa. J Infect Dis 2020;221(12):1953-1962. 18. World Health Organization. The Global Health Observatory. Maternal Deaths. Geneva: WHO, 2026.
https://www.who.int/data/gho/indicator-metadata-registry/imr-details/4622 (accessed 21 June 2024). 19. Paleker M, Davies M-A, Raubenheimer P, Naude J, Boulle A, Hussey H. Change in profile of COVID-19 deaths in the Western Cape during the fourth wave. S Afr Med J 2022;112(3):(June 2026,
Vol. 116, No. 5). https://doi.org/10.7196/SAMJ.2022.v112i2.16384
20. National Department of Health, South Africa. National Committee for Confidential Enquiry into
Maternal Deaths (NCCEMD) Saving Mothers fact sheet 2022. Pretoria: NDoH, 2022. https://www. health.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Fact-sheet-Saving-Mothers-2022.pdf (accessed 7 May 2025).
21. Campbell I. Chi-squared and Fisher-Irwin tests of two-by-two tables with small sample recommendations. Statistics Med 2007;26(19):3661-3675. https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.2832
22. XLSTAT. Ordinary Least Squares Regression (OLS). Lumivero, 2026. https://www.xlstat.com/en/ solutions/features/ordinary-least-squares-regression- ols#:~:text=Intuitively%20speaking%2C%20 the%20aim%20of,the%20sum%20of%20errors%20directly (accessed 14 June 2024).
23. National Department of Health, South Africa. Ethics in Health Research. Second ed. Pretoria: NDoH, 2015. https://www.health.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2022/05/NHREC-DoH-2015-Ethics-in-Health- Research-Guidelines-1.pdf (accessed 13 May 2026).
24. National Committee on the Confidential Enquiry into Maternal Deaths. Saving Mothers 2014 - 2016: Seventh triennial report on confidential enquiries into maternal deaths in South Africa: Short Report. Pretoria: NCCEMD, 2016. https://anaesthetics.ukzn.ac.za/Libraries/Obstets3_2019/Saving_Mothers. pdf (accesed 28 November 2024).
25. Mboweni SH, Risenga PR. The impact of The COVID-19 pandemic on the management of chronic disease in South Africa: A systematic review. Open Pub Health J 2022;15:e187494452206140. https:// doi.org/10.2174/18749445-v15-e2206140
26. Jacobs T, Morden E, Smith M, et al. Severe outcomes among adults with TB during COVID-19. IJTLD Open 2024;1(7):292-298. https://doi.org/10.5588/ijtldopen.24.0220
27. Kassanjee R, Davies MA, Ngwenya O, et al. COVID-19 among adults living with HIV: Correlates of mortality among public sector healthcare users in Western Cape, South Africa. J Int AIDS Soc 2023;26(6):e26104. https://doi.org/10.1002/jia2.26104
28. Enriquez Y, Critto ME, Weinberg R, de Janon Quevedo L, Galleguillos A, Koch E. Effects of emerging SARS-CoV-2 on total and cause-specific maternal mortality: A natural experiment in Chile during the peak of the outbreak, 2020 - 2021. PLoS Glob Public Health 2024;4(7):e0002882. https://doi. org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0002882
29. De Carvalho-Sauer RCO, Costa M, Teixeira MG, et al. Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on time series of maternal mortality ratio in Bahia, Brazil: Analysis of period 2011 - 2020. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth 2021;21(1):423. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.000288210.1186/s12884-021-03899-y
Downloads
Published
License
Copyright (c) 2026 M Hunter, L Hannan, A Boulle, M Matjila, M Ismail, J Euvrard, M-A Davies, E Kalk

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Licensing Information
The SAMJ is published under an Attribution-Non Commercial International Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY-NC 4.0) License. Under this license, authors agree to make articles available to users, without permission or fees, for any lawful, non-commercial purpose. Users may read, copy, or re-use published content as long as the author and original place of publication are properly cited.
Exceptions to this license model is allowed for UKRI and research funded by organisations requiring that research be published open-access without embargo, under a CC-BY licence. As per the journals archiving policy, authors are permitted to self-archive the author-accepted manuscript (AAM) in a repository.
Publishing Rights
Authors grant the Publisher the exclusive right to publish, display, reproduce and/or distribute the Work in print and electronic format and in any medium known or hereafter developed, including for commercial use. The Author also agrees that the Publisher may retain in print or electronic format more than one copy of the Work for the purpose of preservation, security and back-up.





